Class drops are just one approach. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). determine if a favorite is vulnerable. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, I used to call it the second drop. bounce factor, which really does exist. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. Can help identify horses that may improve. Table ranked by place strike rate. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Today's ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Stats for combination runs on this code only. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. second-time starter, still a maiden. TrForm But it got me wondering? You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. No Frm Handicappers, Well Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. e.g. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. Stats, Jockey National Hunt "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats Conn I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Wt He is listed as xB. main clue is the program and the morning line. All information provided by this Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" race. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. strictly prohibited. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Lst Results. Alm Data, 90 Day Tipping Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. Stats, Trainer Flat Table ranked by win strike rate. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. Click here to visit Bovada! out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. given date. 347. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Period. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. 9. Stl Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. . We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. Musselburgh 13:50. Stats, One Ride With the Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. Days Stats, Jockey National Hunt Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. Raw Adj The horse has been doing well. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Throw in a 7. Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. WtD By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with And look at what happens when those same horses compete . U.S. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Differential Columns Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to Winners: 1,815. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Race Level Many angles (I.e.) Suspicious Drop in Class today. Healthy horses work out and race. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Race Information thaskalos. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. There are some positive things to look for as well. It just goes to show that there are What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Maidens & Koulds You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. this level. Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. The two races are of completely different classes. Welcomes global players. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. The same principle holds true in horse racing. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. your disposal. Handicapped, Class A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. The An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. Horse More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. Handicappers, Well I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Suspicious Drop in Class today 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. 8. False favorites abound in chaotic races. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. We would say that it was lower. e.g. Runners, Available Data b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days Figures from flat turf and all weather. You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Figures from flat turf and all weather. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned.